SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
25.57% ( -0.43) | 24.19% ( 0.11) | 50.24% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0.8) | 46.86% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( -0.76) | 69.11% ( 0.76) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.78) | 32.42% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.07% ( -0.89) | 68.94% ( 0.89) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.17) | 18.69% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% ( -0.3) | 50.03% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.24% |
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