SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.85%) and 1-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Inhulets |
80.38% ( 0.03) | 13.24% ( -0.01) | 6.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.46% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( -0.02) | 37.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( -0.02) | 59.34% ( 0.02) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.78% ( 0) | 7.21% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.82% ( 0) | 26.18% ( -0) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.76% ( -0.06) | 54.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.58% ( -0.04) | 87.42% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Inhulets |
| 2-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.77% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.47% Total : 80.37% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 13.24% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 6.38% |
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