SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 6.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.03%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
80.47% ( 0) | 13.28% ( -0) | 6.24% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( 0) | 37.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( 0) | 60.26% ( -0.01) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.61% ( 0) | 7.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.38% ( 0) | 26.61% ( -0) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0) | 55.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.97% ( 0) | 88.02% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-0 @ 13.84% 3-0 @ 12.03% 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.14% 4-1 @ 4.65% 5-0 @ 4.09% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.12% 6-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.27% Total : 80.45% | 1-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.46% Total : 13.28% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 1.95% Total : 6.24% |
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