SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Waterford United |
45.49% ( 0.22) | 27.47% ( 0.18) | 27.04% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.34% ( -0.86) | 58.66% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( -0.67) | 79.2% ( 0.67) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.28) | 25.74% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.38) | 60.67% ( 0.38) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.81) | 37.58% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( -0.8) | 74.36% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.7% Total : 27.04% |
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