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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 12
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
SP

Shelbourne
1 - 0
St Patrick's

Martin (33')
Duff (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lennon (18'), McLaughlin (48'), Bolger (72'), Keeley (82'), Nolan (85')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Shamrock
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 3-1 St Patrick's
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
38.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.37% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-0.012 -0.01)55.93% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)77.04% (0.012 0.01)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (0.010999999999996 0.01)64.24% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)30.62% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.86% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 38.06%
    St Patrick's Athletic 34.55%
    Draw 27.37%
ShelbourneDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 34.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Shamrock
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 2-2 Shelbourne
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Derry
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 Dundalk
Friday, March 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 3-1 St Patrick's
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Waterford
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 St Patrick's
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Shamrock
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 Sligo
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-0 St Patrick's
Friday, March 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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