Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.