SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stockport County |
20.02% ( -0.5) | 23.1% ( -0.19) | 56.88% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( 0.16) | 48.11% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.15) | 70.27% ( -0.14) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( -0.42) | 38.25% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( -0.41) | 75.01% ( 0.42) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( 0.31) | 16.69% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( 0.54) | 46.57% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.87% |
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