SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
30.48% ( 0.39) | 24.33% ( 0.1) | 45.19% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( -0.28) | 44.24% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.27) | 66.62% ( 0.27) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( 0.12) | 27.48% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( 0.16) | 62.97% ( -0.16) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.32) | 19.72% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% ( -0.52) | 51.73% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.19% |
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