Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.