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Friday, November 8
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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
BL

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Bolton


Hoole (62'), Pierre (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osei-Tutu (52'), Charles (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton may have fallen at this stage in each of the last three seasons, but we think that they will end that run when they face a Shrewsbury side they have beaten in four of the previous six meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
21.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.7% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 55.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.197 0.2)44.6% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.19 0.19)66.97% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.122 0.12)34.81% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.13 0.13)71.54% (-0.131 -0.13)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.077999999999989 0.08)15.81% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (0.147 0.15)44.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 21.46%
    Bolton Wanderers 55.84%
    Draw 22.7%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.46%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 55.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-3 Notts County (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Wrexham
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Mansfield (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Bolton
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Stoke
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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