SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
21.46% ( 0.01) | 22.7% ( -0.04) | 55.84% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( 0.2) | 44.6% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( 0.19) | 66.97% ( -0.19) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 0.12) | 34.81% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( 0.13) | 71.54% ( -0.13) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.08) | 15.81% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( 0.15) | 44.97% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.46% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.84% |
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