SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
38.91% ( 0.36) | 23.34% ( -0) | 37.75% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 64.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.43% ( 0.01) | 37.57% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.2% ( 0.01) | 59.81% ( -0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.17) | 19.72% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% ( 0.28) | 51.73% ( -0.27) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.16) | 20.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.26) | 52.61% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 38.91% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.75% |
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