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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
32.57% ( 0.18) | 24.08% ( 0.08) | 43.34% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( -0.32) | 42.22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( -0.32) | 64.62% ( 0.32) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.04) | 25.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( -0.06) | 59.89% ( 0.05) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( -0.25) | 19.69% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.31% ( -0.4) | 51.69% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.57% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.34% |
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