SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Oulu |
46.88% ( -0.38) | 25.17% ( -0.08) | 27.94% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( 0.59) | 49.33% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( 0.53) | 71.38% ( -0.53) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.07) | 21.07% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 0.12) | 53.88% ( -0.12) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( 0.65) | 31.87% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( 0.75) | 68.31% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.94% |
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