SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
45.02% ( -0.01) | 25.16% ( 0) | 29.81% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.01) | 48.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( -0.01) | 70.41% ( 0.01) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.01) | 21.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% ( -0.01) | 54.47% ( 0.01) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0) | 29.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% | 66.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.48% Total : 45.02% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.81% |
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