SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Honka |
35.4% ( 0.09) | 26.38% ( -0.02) | 38.22% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.1) | 51.84% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.09) | 73.6% ( -0.09) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( 0.11) | 28.08% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% ( 0.14) | 63.75% ( -0.14) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( 0.01) | 26.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( 0.01) | 61.62% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.22% |
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