SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KuPS in this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Oulu |
54.24% ( 2.25) | 24.3% ( -0.35) | 21.47% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.53) | 51.25% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.46) | 73.08% ( 0.46) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.67) | 18.81% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( 1.12) | 50.24% ( -1.11) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.45% ( -2.11) | 38.55% ( 2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.7% ( -2.07) | 75.3% ( 2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.63)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.47% |
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