SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Manchester City |
12.07% ( 0) | 17.04% | 70.9% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.96% ( 0) | 36.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.86% | 58.15% |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.91% ( 0) | 41.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( 0) | 77.64% ( -0) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% | 9.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.28% ( -0) | 30.72% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.3% 2-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 12.07% | 1-1 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.24% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.04% | 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 8.92% 0-3 @ 8.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.65% 0-4 @ 5.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-5 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-6 @ 1% 2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.9% |
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