SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
42.74% ( 0.32) | 25.11% ( -0.18) | 32.14% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.74) | 47.07% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( 0.69) | 69.31% ( -0.69) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( 0.47) | 21.99% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( 0.71) | 55.3% ( -0.71) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.27) | 27.79% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% ( 0.34) | 63.38% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.14% |
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