Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.06) 
