Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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