SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Oxford City |
36.1% ( 1.3) | 26.69% ( 0.67) | 37.2% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( -2.71) | 53.11% ( 2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( -2.35) | 74.69% ( 2.35) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( -0.52) | 28.28% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36% ( -0.66) | 63.99% ( 0.66) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -2.36) | 27.62% ( 2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( -3.14) | 63.16% ( 3.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.2% |
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