SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Oxford City |
28.37% ( -0.17) | 25.07% ( 0.17) | 46.56% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.84) | 48.64% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.77) | 70.76% ( 0.77) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -0.56) | 31.19% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( -0.66) | 67.52% ( 0.66) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.34) | 20.93% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( -0.54) | 53.66% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.55% |
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