SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Sudan |
27.17% ( -0.34) | 29.37% ( -0.15) | 43.46% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.3) | 64.72% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.3% ( 0.21) | 83.7% ( -0.21) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.12% ( -0.12) | 40.87% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.55% ( -0.11) | 77.44% ( 0.1) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( 0.41) | 29.7% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( 0.5) | 65.75% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 14.73% 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 43.45% |
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