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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Kegue
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Togo
1 - 1
South Sudan

Narey (61')
Boma (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aholou (68' og.)
Taban Malish (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Sao Tome
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Togo 1-0 South Sudan

Togo are a stronger side than South Sudan and they have the advantage of playing on home soil. The hosts also have more match winners in their ranks, which should help them edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.27%) and 3-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
TogoDrawSouth Sudan
68.18% (1.439 1.44) 21.14% (-0.644 -0.64) 10.67% (-0.797 -0.8)
Both teams to score 36.35% (-0.693 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.2% (0.523 0.52)56.8% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (0.415 0.41)77.74% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (0.661 0.66)15.87% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (1.205 1.21)45.08% (-1.208 -1.21)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.2% (-1.174 -1.17)56.8% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.07% (-0.678 -0.68)88.93% (0.675 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Togo 68.18%
    South Sudan 10.67%
    Draw 21.14%
TogoDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 16.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 15.27% (0.38 0.38)
3-0 @ 9.37% (0.434 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.291 0.29)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.081 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 68.18%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 2.44% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-2 @ 2.66% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 10.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 1-2 Togo
Friday, March 22 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 0-0 Senegal
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Sudan 1-1 Togo
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Togo 3-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-2 Togo
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Sao Tome
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 4-0 South Sudan
Saturday, November 18 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Kenya 0-1 South Sudan
Tuesday, September 12 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 4-0 South Sudan
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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