SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | South Sudan |
31.83% ( 0.05) | 26.33% ( 0.08) | 41.83% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( -0.31) | 52.36% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% ( -0.27) | 74.05% ( 0.27) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.12) | 30.63% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.14) | 66.88% ( 0.14) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.21) | 24.75% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( -0.29) | 59.31% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | South Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
