SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
66.15% ( -1.4) | 19.61% ( 0.71) | 14.24% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( -1.66) | 42.89% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( -1.67) | 65.3% ( 1.66) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( -0.86) | 12.1% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.34% ( -1.85) | 37.66% ( 1.84) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.03) | 42.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.39% ( -0.03) | 78.61% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.44% Total : 66.13% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.61% | 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.24% |
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