SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.73%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Mauritania |
12.12% ( -0.08) | 22.69% ( 0.28) | 65.19% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.96% ( -1.06) | 59.05% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.5% ( -0.83) | 79.51% ( 0.83) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0.79) | 55.51% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.82% ( -0.47) | 88.19% ( 0.47) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.46) | 17.68% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.68% ( -0.8) | 48.32% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.12% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 17% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 14.73% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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