SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.73%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Mauritania |
12.12% ( -0.08) | 22.69% ( 0.28) | 65.19% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.96% ( -1.06) | 59.05% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.5% ( -0.83) | 79.51% ( 0.83) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0.79) | 55.51% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.82% ( -0.47) | 88.19% ( 0.47) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.46) | 17.68% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% ( -0.8) | 48.32% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.12% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 17% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 14.73% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.18% |
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