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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
47.19% ( 1.79) | 21.1% ( -0.14) | 31.7% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 70.98% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.01) | 27.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.02) | 48.54% ( 0.02) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% ( 0.56) | 12.66% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.18% ( 1.15) | 38.82% ( -1.15) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( -0.81) | 18.72% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.9% ( -1.38) | 50.09% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.15)4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.47% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.45% Total : 31.7% |
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