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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
52.86% ( 0.75) | 21.56% ( -0.34) | 25.58% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 64.2% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( 1.28) | 34.67% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.38% ( 1.42) | 56.62% ( -1.42) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( 0.68) | 13.34% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.78% ( 1.35) | 40.22% ( -1.35) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( 0.39) | 25.92% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( 0.52) | 60.91% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.58% |
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