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National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 0
Boston

Cardwell (2'), Scott-Morriss (52')
Miley (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leak (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 0-4 Forest Green
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Southend United 2-0 Boston United

While Southend have been disappointing in the early stages of the season, they have at least kept two clean sheets, and they could keep their third on Tuesday. Though Boston have done well to reach the National League, they still appear to require some adjustment to their new division and come into the clash as underdogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southend United.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawBoston United
54.6% (0.125 0.13) 24.07% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.148 -0.15)50.51% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (-0.131 -0.13)72.43% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)49.53% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)38.28% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.203 -0.2)75.04% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 54.6%
    Boston United 21.32%
    Draw 24.07%
Southend UnitedDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-1 York City
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Southend
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ballyfermot United 0-0 Southend
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southend 1-3 Gillingham
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-2 Southend
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Boston 0-4 Forest Green
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 0-3 Rochdale
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gainsborough 0-1 Boston
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Boston 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Boston
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Boston 4-2 Kettering
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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