SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Warrington Town |
37.44% ( 2.22) | 26.52% ( 0.24) | 36.04% ( -2.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% ( -0.94) | 52.38% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( -0.82) | 74.06% ( 0.82) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.86) | 27.14% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( 1.11) | 62.53% ( -1.11) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -1.86) | 27.96% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% ( -2.43) | 63.59% ( 2.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.04% |
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