SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 69.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Tamworth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
69.22% ( 0.19) | 18.67% ( -0.09) | 12.11% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.17) | 43.67% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.16) | 66.06% ( -0.16) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.51% ( 0.1) | 11.49% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.65% ( 0.21) | 36.35% ( -0.21) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.05) | 45.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.28% ( -0.05) | 81.71% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.36% 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.21% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.67% | 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 12.11% |
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