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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Warrington Town |
49.45% ( 0.08) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( 0.02) | 50.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( 0.02) | 72.09% ( -0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.05) | 20.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( 0.07) | 52.65% ( -0.07) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.04) | 34.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( -0.04) | 70.85% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.58% |
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