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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
34.93% ( 0.23) | 26.96% ( 0.03) | 38.11% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.1) | 54.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.09) | 75.67% ( 0.08) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.1) | 29.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( 0.12) | 65.59% ( -0.12) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.2) | 27.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.26) | 63.19% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.1% |
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