Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.