Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
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