SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
43.53% ( 0.12) | 28.75% ( 0.27) | 27.72% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 43.4% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.4% ( -1.02) | 62.6% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.82% ( -0.75) | 82.17% ( 0.75) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.43) | 28.61% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.54) | 64.41% ( 0.54) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.89) | 39.2% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( -0.84) | 75.91% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.71% |
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