Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 69.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.6%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Fortaleza in this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
