SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
29.43% ( 2.81) | 26.02% ( 1.45) | 44.54% ( -4.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -2.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( -4.35) | 52.03% ( 4.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( -3.88) | 73.76% ( 3.88) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.14) | 32.16% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -0.16) | 68.64% ( 0.16) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -3.68) | 23.27% ( 3.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( -5.67) | 57.2% ( 5.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 1.35) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.75)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.43% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.73) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 1.21)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.47)0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.77)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.66)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.45)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.5)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.44)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.29)Other @ 2% Total : 44.54% |
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