SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
56.13% ( 0.67) | 22% ( -0.27) | 21.88% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 57.91% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( 0.75) | 40.88% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.73% ( 0.76) | 63.27% ( -0.77) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( 0.47) | 14.43% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.62% ( 0.91) | 42.37% ( -0.91) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0.06) | 32.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% ( 0.07) | 68.83% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.13% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.88% |
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