Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
30.35% ( -0.01) | 28.8% | 40.85% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.16% ( 0.01) | 61.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.38% ( 0.01) | 81.62% ( -0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( 0) | 36.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( 0) | 73.45% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% ( 0.01) | 29.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% ( 0.01) | 65.8% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 13.22% 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.84% |
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