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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
HL

St Johnstone
2 - 3
Hearts

May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Carey (9'), McGowan (13'), Mitchell (84'), Gordon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Snodgrass (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 4-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-0 Hearts

Although St Johnstone came back from Celtic Park without any points on Christmas Eve, there were positives to take away from the performance as they look to record a victory on home soil. Hearts did not get the win they expected at Dundee United and lost many players to injury in the process, meaning a trip to face the Saints could be a real struggle on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
30.35% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 28.8%40.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.38% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.62% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.45%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (0.013000000000005 0.01)29.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (0.014000000000003 0.01)65.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 30.34%
    Hearts 40.84%
    Draw 28.79%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 30.34%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 13.22%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celtic 4-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-1 Rangers
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 1-0 Hearts
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Motherwell
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Hearts
Thursday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League


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