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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
KL

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Kilmarnock

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (23'), Watkins (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Kilmarnock

Both teams will be pushing to secure points for different reasons this weekend, but out of the two, it is Kilmarnock who are enjoying a much stronger season. While Killie typically struggles away from home, they should have enough quality in this particular match to take three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
28.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 44.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.012 0.01)34.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.67% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.91% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 28.64%
    Kilmarnock 44.34%
    Draw 26.99%
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 9 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-2 Rangers
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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