SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
30.31% ( -0.07) | 29.42% ( -0.03) | 40.27% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.86% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.15% ( 0.08) | 63.85% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.92% ( 0.05) | 83.08% ( -0.06) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( -0.01) | 37.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% ( -0.01) | 74.58% ( 0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0.1) | 31.08% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0.12) | 67.4% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 13.73% 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.27% |
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