SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
51.63% ( -0.17) | 25.71% ( 1.11) | 22.67% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -4.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.58% ( -5.12) | 55.42% ( 5.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% ( -4.37) | 76.62% ( 4.37) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -2.11) | 21.52% ( 2.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( -3.35) | 54.57% ( 3.35) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% ( -3.74) | 39.73% ( 3.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( -3.63) | 76.4% ( 3.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 1.68) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.69)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.32)Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 1.57)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.6)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.67% |
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