SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
30.55% ( 0.36) | 27.36% ( 0.01) | 42.08% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.23% ( 0.06) | 56.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( 0.05) | 77.71% ( -0.05) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( 0.3) | 33.8% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( 0.33) | 70.47% ( -0.33) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.18) | 26.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.23) | 61.86% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08% |
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