SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
34.89% ( -0.04) | 27.75% ( 0.06) | 37.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% ( -0.25) | 57.34% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( -0.2) | 78.17% ( 0.19) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.15) | 31.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.17) | 67.44% ( 0.17) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.14) | 29.57% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( -0.17) | 65.6% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.36% |
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