SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Elversberg |
71.6% ( -0.54) | 16.94% ( 0.26) | 11.46% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.49) | 37.25% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.53) | 59.46% ( 0.53) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.83% ( -0.25) | 9.17% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.93% ( -0.59) | 31.08% ( 0.59) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.16) | 42.91% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.79% ( 0.13) | 79.21% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.6% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 16.94% | 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.46% |
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