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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
SJ

Stenhousemuir
1 - 0
St Johnstone

O'Reilly (49')
Bilham (48'), Anderson (65'), Yates (69'), Aitken (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kucheriavyi (51'), McGowan (63'), Steven (90'), Steven (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stenhousemuir and St Johnstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Annan
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-0 Livingston
Sunday, May 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawSt Johnstone
10.44% (-1.128 -1.13) 16.35% (-1.001 -1) 73.21% (2.125 2.13)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.407 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (1.54 1.54)37.45% (-1.544 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (1.635 1.64)59.67% (-1.64 -1.64)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.11% (-0.997 -1)44.88% (0.992 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.16% (-0.808 -0.81)80.84% (0.80399999999999 0.8)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (0.88799999999999 0.89)8.85% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.69% (2.115 2.12)30.31% (-2.119 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 10.44%
    St Johnstone 73.2%
    Draw 16.35%
StenhousemuirDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 3.18% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-1 @ 3.09% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-0 @ 1.28% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.44%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.483 -0.48)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 16.35%
0-2 @ 11.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-3 @ 9.44% (0.438 0.44)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 7.56% (0.15 0.15)
0-4 @ 5.72% (0.482 0.48)
1-4 @ 4.58% (0.269 0.27)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.77% (0.334 0.33)
1-5 @ 2.22% (0.213 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-6 @ 1.12% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 73.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Annan
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 3-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-0 Livingston
Sunday, May 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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