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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
43.5% ( 1.64) | 26.16% ( -0.54) | 30.34% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% ( 1.75) | 52.17% ( -1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% ( 1.49) | 73.88% ( -1.49) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 1.61) | 23.84% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 2.25) | 58.02% ( -2.25) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( 0.12) | 31.57% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( 0.14) | 67.97% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.34% |
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