SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | St Johnstone |
10.44% ( -1.13) | 16.35% ( -1) | 73.21% ( 2.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( 1.54) | 37.45% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% ( 1.64) | 59.67% ( -1.64) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.11% ( -1) | 44.88% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.16% ( -0.81) | 80.84% ( 0.8) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( 0.89) | 8.85% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.69% ( 2.12) | 30.31% ( -2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.44% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.92% Total : 16.35% | 0-2 @ 11.67% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 9.44% ( 0.44)1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 5.72% ( 0.48)1-4 @ 4.58% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.77% ( 0.33)1-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)0-6 @ 1.12% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.26% Total : 73.2% |
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